Bitcoin options worth $3B to expire on July 4 — will BTC retrace?
2025-07-04 06:42:42
Main Idea
Bitcoin options contracts are approaching expiration with a 'max pain' price of $106,000, while BTC trades at $109,044 with mixed market signals including a drop in trading volume and underlying strength indicators.
Key Points
1. Bitcoin options contracts expire on July 4 at 08:00 UTC, with the 'max pain' price currently at $106,000.
2. Bitcoin is trading at $109,044, up 0.2% from the previous day, but trading volume has dropped 21% to $28.9 billion.
3. The put-to-call ratio for this expiry is 1.05, indicating a balanced market sentiment.
4. BTC remains above its 20-day and 10-day moving averages, suggesting short-term support, and the MACD indicates underlying strength.
5. If Bitcoin drops below $107,500, it might move toward $106,000; staying above $108,000 could lead to a retest of the all-time high above $111,000.
Description
Bitcoin may see a spike in short-term price swings as nearly $3 billion worth of options contracts approach expiration on July 4. According to data from Deribit, the leading crypto options exchange, these contracts are set to expire at 08:00 UTC, with the “max pain” price currently pegged at $106,000. This price level reflects the point where most options, both calls and puts, expire with little to no value, often resulting in the least payout to traders and the highest benefit to sellers. When ...
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