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Analysis: Bitcoin could reach $120K in July amid BTC market maturity

2025-07-04 11:29:14

Analysis: Bitcoin could reach $120K in July amid BTC market maturity

Main Idea

Matrixport's report suggests Bitcoin could reach $120,000 if seasonal trends and capital flows continue, but notes slowing crypto market inflows and potential challenges.

Key Points

1. Bitcoin could reach $120,000 if seasonal trends and capital flows remain consistent, with one-week implied volatility in the 30s indicating market maturity.

2. Crypto market inflows are slowing, with $291 billion expected in 2025, significantly less than the $377 billion in 2024.

3. July has historically been a profitable month for Bitcoin, and the upcoming weeks may see Bitcoin testing the $116,000–$120,000 range.

4. Breaking through the $120,000 ceiling may require a more supportive Fed backdrop and overcoming sideways trading conditions.

Description

Bitcoin is showing signs of strength heading into July, with low volatility, steady demand, and historical trends suggesting the price could soon make a sharp move higher. A July 4 report from Matrixport suggests that if seasonal trends continue and capital flows stay consistent, Bitcoin ( BTC ) could reach $120,000 this month. According to the report, realized price swings have now reached multi-year lows, indicating a significant decline in volatility. The market may be maturing as the one-wee...

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