Bitprismia

Bitcoin is deep into its bull run, here’s what comes next: analyst

2025-07-04 09:57:21

Main Idea

Bitcoin may be entering the final phase of its current bull cycle, with a potential market peak expected within months, based on historical halving patterns and analysis by Rekt Capital.

Key Points

1. Bitcoin typically peaks between 518 and 550 days after halving, a pattern observed in the 2016 and 2020 cycles.

2. The market is roughly 88% through the current cycle, with potential for accelerated progress in September and mid-October 2025.

3. BTC has experienced the longest post-halving reaccumulation period in its history, remaining stagnant just below its all-time high for eight months after the April 2024 halving.

4. Similar phases of slowing momentum or 'price discovery corrections' occurred in the 2017 and 2021 cycles, indicating a shift in risk-to-reward ratio as the cycle matures.

5. Rekt Capital warns against delaying profit-taking, as drawdowns of 60–70% followed prior bull market peaks, and distractions from newer cycle narratives could lead to missing the market top.

Description

Bitcoin may be entering the final phase of its current bull cycle, with a potential market peak just months away, according to market analyst Rekt Capital. In a recent breakdown , the Bitcoin ( BTC ) analyst compared the current market structure to past halving cycles, using historical timeframes to estimate where Bitcoin stands. His analysis is based on a model where Bitcoin typically peaks between 518 and 550 days after halving, a pattern seen in both the 2016 and 2020 cycles. According to Rek...

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