XRP Hype Soars: 86% Bet on ETF Approval as Ripple Goes All-In for U.S. Bank Status

Main Idea
Polymarket predicts an 86% chance of SEC approval for a spot XRP ETF, driven by legal clarity for Ripple, institutional interest, market maturity, and regulatory shifts. Ripple has also applied for a national trust bank charter with the OCC, aiming to enhance its financial infrastructure.
Key Points
1. Polymarket's 86% approval probability for a spot XRP ETF reflects high confidence due to Ripple's resolved legal issues with the SEC.
2. Major asset managers like Bitwise, Grayscale, and Franklin Templeton have filed for spot XRP ETFs, signaling institutional confidence.
3. CME Group's XRP futures ETFs and ProShares' leveraged XRP ETF demonstrate market maturity and investor interest.
4. Regulatory developments, including the GENIUS Act and SEC commentary, suggest a more favorable environment for altcoin ETFs.
5. Ripple has applied for a national trust bank charter with the OCC, aiming to secure a Federal Reserve Master Account and streamline payments.
6. Banking groups oppose Ripple's charter bid, citing concerns over crypto-affiliated trust banks, but the OCC has shown a crypto-friendly stance.
7. Ripple's public application and strategic goals highlight its push for direct Federal Reserve access and stablecoin integration.
Description
Polymarket Bets 86% on Spot XRP ETF Approval Polymarket, a top crypto prediction platform, now pegs the odds of SEC approval for a spot XRP ETF at 86%. What explains this high confidence level? 1. Legal Clarity Surrounding Ripple In March 2025, the SEC formally dropped its longstanding lawsuit against Ripple, removing a major overhang for ETF issuers. This legal resolution reduced regulatory uncertainty and significantly bolstered confidence in XRP-based investment vehicles. 2. Growing Number of...
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