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The Fed’s dual mandate is causing bifurcations in policy

2025-08-07 19:30:52

Main Idea

The Federal Reserve's dual mandate is creating policy conflicts as inflation rises above the 2% target and a weak jobs report complicates monetary decisions, with attention now turning to the upcoming Jackson Hole Symposium for further guidance.

Key Points

1. Inflation is rising above the Fed's 2% target, driven by goods rather than services.

2. A disappointing jobs report has raised concerns about economic stagnation and potential deterioration.

3. The Fed faces policy conflicts due to its dual mandate of controlling inflation and supporting employment.

4. Market expectations for a September rate cut have shifted following mixed economic data.

5. Upcoming Jackson Hole Symposium may provide clarity on the Fed's future monetary policy direction.

Description

The labor market is screaming weakness, but inflation is set to head higher

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