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Report: BTC Treasuries Face $12.8B Maturity Wall by 2028

2025-07-12 06:06:50

Report: BTC Treasuries Face $12.8B Maturity Wall by 2028

Main Idea

A $12.8 billion debt maturity wall poses a sustainability risk for major Bitcoin Treasury Companies (BTC-TCs), which rely heavily on capital markets and Bitcoin prices, with some firms already operating at significant losses.

Key Points

1. BTC-TCs collectively hold over 725,000 BTC but face a $12.8 billion debt maturity wall, concentrated in 2027 and 2028, threatening their financial stability.

2. These companies have raised over $3.35 billion in preferred equity and $9.48 billion in debt to fund Bitcoin acquisitions, with MicroStrategy dominating the sector with 597,000 BTC (82% of the total).

3. Convertible notes, like MicroStrategy's $7.3 billion 0% issuance, depend on sustained high stock prices; if prices fall, firms may struggle to meet obligations.

4. BTC-TCs trade at a 73% premium to their Bitcoin holdings, but many, like MicroStrategy and Marathon Digital, operate at quarterly losses ($78.3M and $43.5M, respectively), relying on capital markets for survival.

5. Firms like Metaplanet, Semler Scientific, and CoinShares perform better, generating profits or holding sufficient cash reserves, but a Bitcoin price drop could force others to sell BTC or dilute shares, harming investors.

Description

A looming $12.8 billion debt maturity wall could threaten the sustainability of major Bitcoin Treasury Companies (BTC-TCs) like Marathon Digital and Nakamoto by 2028. This is according to a new Keyrock report showing that while such firms collectively hold more than 725,000 BTC, their reliance on capital markets and negative cash flows for acquisitions has made them vulnerable to weakening Bitcoin prices and souring investor sentiment. The Debt-Fueled Accumulation Boom BTC-TCs, public companies ...

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