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June CPI Report: US Inflation Reaches Highest Level Since February

2025-07-15 16:48:00

Main Idea

The June CPI report shows US inflation reached its highest level since February, with headline inflation rising 0.3% MoM and 2.7% YoY, driven by shelter, energy, and tariff-influenced goods, reducing hopes for a Fed rate cut in September.

Key Points

1. Headline inflation rose 0.3% MoM, the largest monthly increase since January, and 2.7% YoY, up from May’s 2.4%.

2. Core CPI (excluding food and energy) increased 0.2% MoM and 2.9% YoY, indicating persistent inflation in services and housing.

3. Odds of a Fed rate cut in September dropped below 60%, down from over 80% the previous week, as higher inflation tempered expectations.

4. Crypto markets reacted with a pullback, similar to past trends where sticky inflation led to declines in Bitcoin and other digital assets.

5. Inflation above 2% may delay Fed rate cuts, impacting liquidity and potentially slowing cryptocurrency rallies.

Description

Headline inflation rose 0.3% MoM (month-on-month), which is its largest monthly increase since January YoY (year-on-year) also increased to 2.7%, up from May’s 2.4% The Fed is expected to hold rates in July, with a potential cut delayed until September The Bureau of Labor Statistics released the US CPI (Consumer Price Index) report for June, showing that headline inflation rose 0.3% MoM (month-on-month), which is its largest monthly increase since January. When it comes to YoY (year-on-year), it...

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