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Is the four-year crypto cycle dead? Believers are growing louder

2025-08-11 07:02:21

Main Idea

Experts are debating whether Bitcoin's predictable four-year cycles are ending as institutional involvement in crypto grows, with some arguing the cycles are over while others believe they remain intact.

Key Points

1. Jason Williams and Matthew Hougan argue that the Bitcoin four-year cycle is over, citing institutional adoption and the holding of large Bitcoin amounts by treasury companies.

2. Pierre Rochard agrees the cycles may be over, stating Bitcoin halvings are now immaterial as 95% of BTC has been mined and supply comes from buying out early holders.

3. Martin Burgherr suggests the four-year cycle is no longer the sole market driver, with capital flows, regulations, and ETF adoption playing significant roles.

4. Crypto analyst 'CRYPTO₿IRB' disagrees, claiming ETFs have strengthened the four-year cycles, which are mathematically programmed and cannot be canceled.

5. Seamus Rocca believes the four-year cycles are still intact, dismissing claims that Bitcoin is dead and highlighting the risk of prolonged bear markets.

Description

Experts are still debating whether Bitcoin’s predictable four-year cycles are at an end as institutions are getting into crypto in a big way.

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