Bitprismia

Ethereum: Overbought and overcrowded, is ETH due for a cooldown?

2025-07-20 09:08:19

Main Idea

Ethereum (ETH) has shown strong performance in Q3 with a 46.62% ROI, but indicators suggest it may be overbought and at risk of a pullback, similar to Q1, while Bitcoin (BTC) dominance remains a key factor.

Key Points

1. Ethereum's Q3 ROI of 46.62% has outpaced previous quarters, with its price around $3,640, but its daily RSI indicates it may be overbought.

2. Bitcoin's dominance (BTC.D) is approaching a key 60% support zone, which could signal a shift back to BTC and a potential pullback for ETH.

3. Over 95% of ETH's supply is currently profitable, a level that historically precedes profit-taking and price reversals, as seen in late 2024 and early 2025.

4. Two new whale wallets acquired 58,268 ETH at an average cost of $3,680, totaling roughly $212 million, adding to the $18 billion+ locked in the market.

5. Despite ETH's strong performance, technical indicators and historical patterns suggest a potential pullback before it can target the $4,000 price level again.

Description

Is Ethereum’s rally running out of steam under the weight of overbought momentum?

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