Ether vulnerable as ‘meaningful unwinding’ on horizon — Analyst
Main Idea
Ethereum (ETH) is facing near-term vulnerability due to surging borrowing rates and overbought technical indicators, which may trigger a 'meaningful unwinding' of leveraged positions, though long-term prospects remain optimistic.
Key Points
1. Ethereum's borrowing rates have surged, making it unprofitable to borrow ETH on platforms like Aave, potentially leading to a significant unwinding of leveraged positions.
2. The ETH/BTC ratio has risen 34% over the past 30 days, with ETH trading at $3,623, up 49% in the same period.
3. Aave's lending utilization rate has increased from 86% to 95% since July 8, indicating high borrowing demand and reduced supply.
4. Markus Thielen of 10x Research notes that ETH's technical indicators are deeply overbought, increasing near-term vulnerability.
5. Historically, Q3 is Ethereum's second-worst-performing quarter (average return of 8.19%), while Q4 is typically the strongest (average return of 22.59%).
Description
The surging borrowing rates in the Ethereum network may send “ripple effects across the Ethereum ecosystem,” says a crypto researcher.
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