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Crypto Cycle: Revolutionizing Market Dynamics Beyond the Four-Year Pattern

2025-07-25 13:45:52

Crypto Cycle: Revolutionizing Market Dynamics Beyond the Four-Year Pattern

Main Idea

Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, argues that the traditional four-year crypto cycle, influenced by Bitcoin halvings, is weakening due to new market dynamics, leading to a more sustained and less volatile growth trajectory.

Key Points

1. The traditional four-year crypto cycle, historically tied to Bitcoin halvings, is losing its influence as the market matures.

2. Key drivers like the diminishing importance of block halvings, the end of negative interest rate cycles, and reduced blow-up risks are altering market dynamics.

3. New forces such as institutional adoption, regulatory reforms, and the introduction of Spot Bitcoin ETFs are driving a 'sustained steady boom' in the crypto market.

4. Volatility will remain a characteristic of the market, but the extreme peaks and troughs of the traditional cycle may become less pronounced.

5. Long-term investors may shift to a 'buy and hold' strategy, focusing on fundamental adoption and sustained growth rather than cyclical trends.

Description

BitcoinWorld Crypto Cycle: Revolutionizing Market Dynamics Beyond the Four-Year Pattern For years, the cryptocurrency world has lived by an unspoken rule: the four-year crypto cycle . It’s been as predictable as the seasons, often tied to Bitcoin’s halving events, bringing with it periods of exhilarating highs and gut-wrenching lows. But what if this deeply ingrained pattern is starting to unravel? What if the very foundations that have dictated market behavior are shifting, paving the way for s...

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