Cipher Mining: A Leveraged Bet On Bitcoin's Bull Cycle
Main Idea
The article discusses an analyst's approach to evaluating Cipher Mining Inc. (NASDAQ:CIFR) using fundamental momentum, price-volume confirmation, and macro filters, along with econometric tools.
Key Points
1. The analyst uses the CAN SLIM framework, focusing on fundamental momentum (EPS, ROE, revenue), price-volume confirmation, and macro filters.
2. Econometric tools like GARCH and Granger are employed in the analysis.
3. The analyst has been managing personal capital since 2020 and advises under MiFID II with a Business Finance background.
4. The article is based on the analyst's actual positioning or watchlist.
5. The analyst discloses no stock, option, or derivative positions in the next 72 hours and no business relationship with mentioned companies.
Description
Summary Cipher is rapidly scaling hash rate from ~13.5 EH/s to 23 EH/s by late 2025, which could more than double BTC production. Despite current net losses and negative free cash flows, the company maintains low leverage, modest liquidity, and ongoing institutional support. Valuation remains low relative to sector peers like Riot and Marathon, offering a high-risk, high-reward way to gain leveraged exposure to Bitcoin’s price cycle without holding crypto directly. Cipher Mining Inc. ( CIFR ) is...
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