Chinese Analyst Sees $1 Trillion Stablecoin Market on the Horizon
2025-07-08 16:57:03

Main Idea
Economist Hong Hao predicts a $1 trillion stablecoin market, highlighting the potential reliability of HKD-backed stablecoins over U.S.-based ones due to Hong Kong's strong foreign reserves and regulatory framework.
Key Points
1. Hong Hao argues that HKD-backed stablecoins may offer greater reliability than U.S.-based ones, citing the strength of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority’s foreign reserves.
2. He points to past issues with U.S.-issued stablecoins, such as USDC’s depegging events, to suggest that the U.S. framework is not yet mature or completely safe.
3. Hong acknowledges the tension between the benefits of stablecoins in cross-border trade and the need for regulatory oversight, emphasizing the challenge of maintaining monetary control without stifling innovation.
4. Stablecoins decentralize payment systems, raising concerns for regulators over control, compliance, and systemic risk management.
5. Hong Kong is in talks with prospective stablecoin firms, indicating growing interest and potential development in the stablecoin market.
Description
Key Takeaways: Economist Hong Hao expects stablecoin market capitalization to surpass $1 trillion. He argues HKD-backed stablecoins may offer greater reliability than U.S.-based ones. U.S. Treasury demand may increase, though long-term flows hinge on fiscal credibility. Economist Hong Hao predicted that the market value of stablecoins could surpass $1 trillion in the near term, according to remarks published by Investment News in a summary of his comments from a recent online discussion. Hong, m...
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