Bitfinex Alpha | BTC Consolidates Ahead of Q3
2025-06-30 13:04:39
Main Idea
Bitcoin is consolidating within a range after a significant rally, with historical Q3 trends suggesting lower volatility, while the US economy shows mixed signals affecting Federal Reserve decisions.
Key Points
1. Bitcoin is trading between $100,000 and $110,000, consolidating after a near-50 percent rally from April's low of $74,634.
2. The short-term holder realized price around $98,700 acted as a key level, with a brief breakdown to $99,830 triggering a 7 percent drop in 24 hours.
3. Historical Q3 seasonality indicates Bitcoin's weakest performance, often remaining range-bound with lower volatility.
4. The US economy shows conflicting signals, with falling personal income and spending in May, and inflation climbing to 2.7 percent.
5. Trade deficits widened, and jobless claims indicate a cooling economy, adding to global uncertainty.
Description
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