Bitcoin's four-year market cycle isn't dead — Xapo Bank CEO
2025-07-12 20:09:50
Main Idea
Xapo Bank CEO Seamus Rocca argues that Bitcoin's four-year market cycle of highs and downturns is not dead, citing ongoing correlations with traditional markets and human psychology as key factors.
Key Points
1. Bitcoin's four-year market cycle of forming new all-time highs followed by downturns is still active, contrary to claims it has ended.
2. Bitcoin is not yet a reliable inflation hedge, as its correlation with traditional markets like the S&P 500 remains strong.
3. Institutional buying may not prevent Bitcoin from following its historical cyclical trends.
4. Human psychology and market behavior, rather than Bitcoin-specific factors, drive these cycles.
5. Overleveraged Bitcoin treasury companies could trigger the next bear market, though contagion may be limited to equity rather than debt.
Description
Seamus Rocca warned that the next Bitcoin market downturn could be sparked organically and not through a single catastrophic event.
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