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Bitcoin Options Expiry Nears $5.76 Billion, Signaling Possible Market Volatility Amid Diverging Sentiment

2025-07-18 06:43:57

Bitcoin Options Expiry Nears $5.76 Billion, Signaling Possible Market Volatility Amid Diverging Sentiment

Main Idea

Over $5.76 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options are expiring, with max pain levels suggesting potential price corrections, while market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic.

Key Points

1. Bitcoin options open interest stands at 40,945 contracts valued at $4.91 billion, with a max pain price of $114,000, below the current trading price of ~$120,259.

2. Ethereum's options market has a notional value of $851 million, with a max pain level of $2,950, below its current market price, indicating potential downward pressure.

3. Traders are adopting strategies like selling 30-day put options and buying 30-day calls, reflecting a bullish outlook with downside protection.

4. Historical data suggests this week's larger expiry could amplify volatility, with analysts predicting Bitcoin could reach $150,000 by Q4 or enter a corrective phase.

5. Ethereum’s implied volatility remains high at around 70%, indicating continued market uncertainty despite recent price surges.

Description

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