Bitcoin is losing its bullish momentum: Is a drop to $115K next?
Main Idea
Bitcoin may face a short-term price drop to around $115,000 due to bearish technical indicators, despite its long-term bullish trend remaining intact.
Key Points
1. A hidden bearish divergence on the RSI suggests weakening bullish momentum for Bitcoin, potentially leading to a corrective move similar to a 20% drop observed in March 2024.
2. A CME gap between $114,380 and $115,635 could act as a downside magnet, with historical data showing Bitcoin often fills such gaps, possibly pushing prices to new weekly lows in July.
3. Bitcoin is currently in a distribution zone (80%) according to the IBCI, indicating a warning sign of a potential end-of-cycle top, though other indicators like the Puell Multiple and STH-SOPR have not yet peaked.
4. Traders should prepare for short-term volatility, as the long-term bullish trend for Bitcoin remains unchanged despite these bearish signals.
Description
Bitcoin may face a short-term dip as a bearish divergence, CME gap, and a high IBCI reading point to downside below $115,000.
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