Bitcoin – Examining if BTC could rally +20% before bears step in

Key Points

1. Bitcoin’s Short-Term Holder (STH) MVRV remains low at 1.15, indicating modest unrealized profits and potential for a 20%–25% rally before major selling pressure.

2. Binance’s whale-to-exchange flow dropped by $2.25 billion in 30 days, suggesting reduced selling intent and possible accumulation.

3. Over $1.7 billion in stablecoins flowed into Binance and HTX within 24 hours, indicating planned capital deployment and bullish momentum.

4. Bitcoin’s Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric increased modestly to 34.45 million, showing limited activity among older coins and a lack of major supply movement.

5. Despite negative sentiment (Weighted Sentiment at -0.226), on-chain signals like falling whale deposits and rising stablecoin inflows support further BTC price gains.