Bitcoin derivatives data questions the strength of BTC’s $115K support

Key Points

1. Bitcoin dropped 4% between Thursday and Friday, falling below $115,000 for derivatives expiry, wiping out $390 million worth of futures contracts (14% of open interest).

2. The 2-month Bitcoin futures premium remains at 8%, within the normal 5% to 10% range, suggesting no significant shift in market sentiment.

3. Bitcoin's 25% delta skew surged to 10% on Friday, indicating rare stress, but quickly returned to a balanced 1% level, showing no sustained panic.

4. Tether (USDT) is trading at a modest 0.5% discount in China, signaling mild risk aversion but no extreme fear in the crypto markets.

5. An entity unloaded a portion of its 80,000 BTC balance at Galaxy Digital, but traders have not panicked despite the 7% drop from Bitcoin's all-time high.