Research firm Matrixport predicts Bitcoin may enter a consolidation phase during the coming months of August and September 2025, citing historical seasonal weakness and evolving U.S. fiscal policy as key contributing factors.
Historically, August and September have proven challenging periods for Bitcoin’s price performance. Matrixport data indicates only three years have yielded positive returns in August, with September faring even worse historically, boasting positive returns in just two years. This pattern often accompanies increased profit-taking by investors and a shift towards stablecoin holdings.
Bitcoin currently trades at $115,049.43, representing a market capitalization of $2.29 trillion. While the cryptocurrency has gained 7.24% over the past month, it experienced a 3.05% decline in the most recent 24-hour period. Trading volumes over the same interval reached $78.13 billion, reflecting active market participation despite the cautious sentiment.
The projected consolidation stems from a confluence of these seasonal trends, heightened investor caution leading to stablecoin inflows, and macroeconomic uncertainty surrounding U.S. fiscal policy shifts. These factors are expected to temper significant upward movement for Bitcoin throughout the next two months.