New analysis strongly affirms the persistence of Bitcoin’s consistent four-year market cycle, with projections indicating significant price peaks emerging in the latter half of 2025.
According to the validated Halving Cycles Theory, an initial ‘echo high’ is anticipated to occur between August and September 2025, followed by a more substantial main peak by December. This pattern, which typically sees market peaks approximately 18 months after Bitcoin mining rewards are halved, has demonstrated remarkable consistency over multiple cycles.
The theory’s robustness is highlighted by its endurance despite notable market behavior earlier in the year, including an unusual period of price stagnation. This resilience suggests Bitcoin’s fundamental cyclical framework transcends temporary fluctuations.
Increased institutional influence, notably through the advent of spot Bitcoin ETFs, has also been assessed and found not to fundamentally disrupt this core market rhythm. The underlying drivers remain tied to the scheduled reduction in new Bitcoin supply via halving events and the resultant supply-demand dynamics.
Market participants are advised to utilize this cyclical understanding as a strategic guide to navigate the critical phases expected later in 2025, leveraging the predictability offered by the established four-year pattern.