CryptoQuant analyst AXEL Adler Jr has identified a recurring pattern in Bitcoin’s 30-day percentile funding rate that historically signals market bottoms and subsequent bullish momentum. The pattern marked critical turning points in September 2023, May 2024, September 2024, and most recently in April 2025.
Each instance was followed by a sustained price recovery, with the April 2025 trough preceding a surge to $112,000. This demonstrates the pattern’s potential to foreshadow significant upward movements in Bitcoin’s valuation.
Current metrics show Bitcoin’s funding rate percentile at 54%. Historical data indicates that readings approaching 80% would signal excessive market exuberance and heightened correction risks.
The observed pattern suggests Bitcoin may be positioned for another bullish phase, contingent on the funding rate maintaining alignment with historical parameters that preceded previous recoveries.